Prof Piers Forster

Professor of Climate Change; Director of Research; Roberts Research Fellow

Contact details

Telephone extension: 36476

Email address: p.m.forster@leeds.ac.uk

Room: 8.108

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Home page

Publications

Andrews, T; Forster, PM; Gregory, JM (2009) A Surface Energy Perspective on Climate Change, J CLIMATE, 22(10), pp2557-2570. doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2759.1

Murphy, DM; Solomon, S; Portmann, RW; Rosenlof, KH; Forster, PM; Wong, T (2009) An observationally based energy balance for the Earth since 1950, J GEOPHYS RES-ATMOS, 114, . doi:10.1029/2009JD012105

Lee, DS; Fahey, DW; Forster, PM; Newton, PJ; Wit, RCN; Lim, LL; Owen, B; Sausen, R (2009) Aviation and global climate change in the 21st century, ATMOS ENVIRON, 43(22-23), pp3520-3537. doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2009.04.024

Austin, J; Wilson, RJ; Akiyoshi, H; Bekki, S; Butchart, N; Claud, C; Fomichev, VI; Forster, P; Garcia, RR; Gillett, NP; Keckhut, P; Langematz, U; Manzini, E; Nagashima, T; Randel, WJ; Rozanov, E; Shibata, K; Shine, KP; Struthers, H; Thompson, DWJ; Wu, F; Yoden, S (2009) Coupled chemistry climate model simulations of stratospheric temperatures and their trends for the recent past, GEOPHYS RES LETT, 36, . doi:10.1029/2009GL038462

Myhre, G; Kvalevag, M; Radel, G; Cook, J; Shine, KP; Clark, H; Karcher, F; Markowicz, K; Kardas, A; Wolkenberg, P; Balkanski, Y; Ponater, M; Forster, P; Rap, A; de Leon, RR (2009) Intercomparison of radiative forcing calculations of stratospheric water vapour and contrails, METEOROL Z, 18(6), pp585-596. doi:10.1127/0941-2948/2009/0411

Grise, KM; Thompson, DWJ; Forster, PM (2009) On the Role of Radiative Processes in Stratosphere-Troposphere Coupling, J CLIMATE, 22(15), pp4154-4161. doi:10.1175/2009JCLI2756.1

Simelton, E; Fraser, EDG; Termansen, M; Forster, PM; Dougill, AJ (2009) Typologies of crop-drought vulnerability: an empirical analysis of the socio-economic factors that influence the sensitivity and resilience to drought of three major food crops in China (1961-2001), ENVIRON SCI POLICY, 12(4), pp438-452. doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2008.11.005

Forster, PM; Jones, R; Rogers, HL; Shine, KP (2008) A calculated risk?, The Parliamentary Monitor, 1(12), .

Forster, PM; Rogers, H (2008) Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI): Metrics for Climate Impacts, In: (Ed) Aviation Climate Change Research Initiative (ACCRI, http://www.faa.gov/about/office_org/headquarters_offices/aep/aviation_climate/: Federal Aviation Authority.

Andrews, T; Forster, PM (2008) CO2 forcing induces semi-direct effects with consequences for climate feedback interpretations, GEOPHYS RES LETT, 35(4), . doi:10.1029/2007GL032273

Gregory, JM; Forster, PM (2008) Transient climate response estimated from radiative forcing and observed temperature change, J GEOPHYS RES-ATMOS, 113(D23), . doi:10.1029/2008JD010405

Forster, PM; Hegerl, G; Knutti, R; Ramaswamy, V; Solomon, S; Stott, P; Zwiers, F (2007) Assessing uncertainty in climate simulations, Nature, 4, pp63-64. doi:10.1038/climate.2007.46a

Forster, PM; Ramaswamy, V; et al. (2007) Changes in Atmospheric Constituents and in Radiative Forcing, In: Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M.Tignor and H.L. Miller (Ed) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press.

Forster, PM (2007) Climate with care, New Scientist, 2596, .

Forster, PM; Bodeker, G; Schofield, R; Solomon, S; Thompson, D (2007) Effects of ozone cooling in the tropical lower stratosphere and upper troposphere, GEOPHYS RES LETT, 34(23), . doi:10.1029/2007GL031994

Cagnazzo, C; Manzini, E; Giorgetta, MA; Forster, PMD; Morcrette, JJ (2007) Impact of an improved shortwave radiation scheme in the MAECHAM5 General Circulation Model, ATMOS CHEM PHYS, 7(10), pp2503-2515.

Keeley, SPE; Gillett, NP; Thompson, DWJ; Solomon, S; Forster, PM (2007) Is Antarctic climate most sensitive to ozone depletion in the middle or lower stratosphere?, GEOPHYS RES LETT, 34(22), . doi:10.1029/2007GL031238

Forster, PMD; Shine, KP; Stuber, N (2007) It is premature to include non-CO2 effects of aviation in emission trading schemes (vol 40, pg 1117, 2006), ATMOS ENVIRON, 41(18), pp3941-3941. doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2005.11.081

Saunders, RW; Forster, PM; Plane, JMC (2007) Potential climatic effects of meteoric smoke in the Earth's paleo-atmosphere, GEOPHYS RES LETT, 34(16), . doi:10.1029/2007GL029648

Randel, WJ; Wu, F; Forster, P (2007) The extratropical tropopause inversion layer: Global observations with GPS data, and a radiative forcing mechanism, J ATMOS SCI, 64(12), pp4489-4496. doi:10.1175/2007JAS2412.1

Stuber, N; Forster, P (2007) The impact of diurnal variations of air traffic on contrail radiative forcing, ATMOS CHEM PHYS, 7(12), pp3153-3162.

Forster, PMD; Taylor, KE (2006) Climate forcings and climate sensitivities diagnosed from coupled climate model integrations, J CLIMATE, 19(23), pp6181-6194.

Randel, WJ; Wu, F; Vomel, H; Nedoluha, GE; Forster, P (2006) Decreases in stratospheric water vapor after 2001: Links to changes in the tropical tropopause and the Brewer-Dobson circulation, J GEOPHYS RES-ATMOS, 111(D12), . doi:10.1029/2005JD006744

Forster, PMD; Shine, KP; Stuber, N (2006) It is premature to include non-CO2 effects of aviation in emission trading schemes, ATMOS ENVIRON, 40(6), pp1117-1121. doi:10.1016/j.atmosenv.2005.11.005

Collins, WD; Ramaswamy, V; Schwarzkopf, MD; Sun, Y; Portmann, RW; Fu, Q; Casanova, SEB; Dufresne, JL; Fillmore, DW; Forster, PMD; Galin, VY; Gohar, LK; Ingram, WJ; Kratz, DP; Lefebvre, MP; Li, J; Marquet, P; Oinas, V; Tsushima, Y; Uchiyama, T; Zhong, WY (2006) Radiative forcing by well-mixed greenhouse gases: Estimates from climate models in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), J GEOPHYS RES-ATMOS, 111(D14), . doi:10.1029/2005JD006713

Cordero, EC; Forster, PMD (2006) Stratospheric variability and trends in models used for the IPCC AR4, ATMOS CHEM PHYS, 6, pp5369-5380.

Forster, PMD; Gregory, JM (2006) The climate sensitivity and its components diagnosed from Earth Radiation Budget data, J CLIMATE, 19(1), pp39-52.

Stuber, N; Forster, P; Radel, G; Shine, K (2006) The importance of the diurnal and annual cycle of air traffic for contrail radiative forcing, NATURE, 441(7095), pp864-867. doi:10.1038/nature04877

Eyring, V; Harris, NRP; Rex, M; Shepherd, TG; Fahey, DW; Amanatidis, GT; Austin, J; Chipperfield, MP; Dameris, M; Forster, PMF; Gettelman, A; Graf, HF; Nagashima, T; Newman, PA; Pawson, S; Prather, MJ; Pyle, JA; Salawitch, RJ; Santer, BD; Waugh, DW (2005) A strategy for process-oriented validation of coupled chemistry-climate models, B AM METEOROL SOC, 86(8), pp1117-+. doi:10.1175/BAMS-86-8-1117

Pyle, J; Shepherd, T; Bodeker, GE; Caziani, P; Dameris, M; Forster, PM; Gruzdev, A; Muller, R; Muthama, N; Pitari, G; Randel, WJ (2005) Ozone and climate: a review of interconnections, In: (Ed) Special report on safeguarding the ozone layer and global climate system, IPCC/TEAP, Cambridge.

Forster, PMD; Burkholder, JB; Clerbaux, C; Coheur, PF; Dutta, M; Gohar, LK; Hurley, MD; Myhre, G; Portmann, RW; Shine, KP; Wallington, TJ; Wuebbles, D (2005) Resolution of the uncertainties in the radiative forcing of HFC-134a, J QUANT SPECTROSC RA, 93(4), pp447-460. doi:10.1016/j.jqsrt.2004.08.038

Forster, PMD; Joshi, M (2005) The role of halocarbons in the climate change of the troposphere and stratosphere, CLIMATIC CHANGE, 71(1-2), pp249-266. doi:10.1007/s10584-005-5955-7

Forster, PMD; Collins, M (2004) Quantifying the water vapour feedback associated with post-Pinatubo global cooling, CLIM DYNAM, 23(2), pp207-214. doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0431-z

Gettelman, A; Forster, PMD; Fujiwara, M; Fu, Q; Vomel, H; Gohar, LK; Johanson, C; Ammerman, M (2004) Radiation balance of the tropical tropopause layer, J GEOPHYS RES-ATMOS, 109(D7), . doi:10.1029/2003JD004190

Johnson, BT; Shine, KP; Forster, PM (2004) The semi-direct aerosol effect: Impact of absorbing aerosols on marine stratocumulus, Q J ROY METEOR SOC, 130(599), pp1407-1422. doi:10.1256/qj.03.61

Shine, KP; Bourqui, MS; Forster, PMD; Hare, SHE; Langematz, U; Braesicke, P; Grewe, V; Ponater, M; Schnadt, C; Smiths, CA; Haighs, JD; Austin, J; Butchart, N; Shindell, DT; Randel, WJ; Nagashima, T; Portmann, RW; Solomon, S; Seidel, DJ; Lanzante, J; Klein, S; Ramaswamy, V; Schwarzkopf, MD (2003) A comparison of model-simulated trends in stratospheric temperatures, Q J ROY METEOR SOC, 129(590), pp1565-1588. doi:10.1256/QJ.02.186

Forster, PMD; Solomon, S (2003) Observations of a "weekend effect" in diurnal temperature range, P NATL ACAD SCI USA, 100(20), pp11225-11230. doi:10.1073/pnas.2034034100

Forster, PM (2003) Ozone / role in climate, In: Curry, J., Holdton, J., Pyle, J. (Ed) Encyclopedia of Atmospheric Sciences, Academic Press, pp1649-1655.

Forster, PMD; Shine, KP (2002) Assessing the climate impact of trends in stratospheric water vapor, GEOPHYS RES LETT, 29(6), . doi:10.1029/2001GL013909

Forster, PM (2002) Chemistry and Climate, Chemistry and Industry, .

Gettelman, A; Forster, PM (2002) Definition and climatology of the tropical tropopause layer, Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 80, pp911-924. doi:10.2151/jmsj.80.911

Rogers, HL; Lee, DS; Raper, DW; Forster, PM; Wilson, CW; Newton, P (2002) The impacts of aviation on the atmosphere, The Aeronautical Journal, 106, pp521-546.

Forster, PM (2001) Climage Change: the hard science, Times Higher Education Supplement, .

Forster, PMF; Tourpali, K (2001) Effect of tropopause height changes on the calculation of ozone trends and their radiative forcing, J GEOPHYS RES-ATMOS, 106(D11), pp12241-12251.

Forster, PMD; Ponater, M; Zhong, WY (2001) Testing broadband radiation schemes for their ability to calculate the radiative forcing and temperature response to stratospheric water vapour and ozone changes, METEOROL Z, 10(5), pp387-393.

Forster, PM; Blackburn, M; Glover, R; Shine, KP (2000) An examination of climate sensitivity for idealised climate change experiments in an intermediate general circulation model, CLIM DYNAM, 16(10-11), pp833-849.

Sabziparvar, AA; Shine, KP; Forster, PMD (1999) A model-derived global climatology of UV irradiation at the earth's surface, PHOTOCHEM PHOTOBIOL, 69(2), pp193-202.

Forster, PM (1999) Radiative forcing due to stratospheric ozone changes 1979-1997, using updated trend estimates, Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 104, pp24395-24401.

Forster, PMD; Shine, KP (1999) Stratospheric water vapour changes as a possible contributor to observed stratospheric cooling, GEOPHYS RES LETT, 26(21), pp3309-3312.

Shine, KP; Forster, PMD (1999) The effect of human activity on radiative forcing of climate change: a review of recent developments, GLOBAL PLANET CHANGE, 20(4), pp205-225.

Sabziparvar, AA; Forster, PMD; Shine, EP (1998) Changes in ultraviolet radiation due to stratospheric and tropospheric ozone changes since preindustrial times, J GEOPHYS RES-ATMOS, 103(D20), pp26107-26113.

Shine, KP; Freckleton, RS; Forster, PMD (1998) Comment on "Climate forcing by stratospheric ozone depletion calculated from observed temperature trends" by Zhong et al., GEOPHYS RES LETT, 25(5), pp663-664.

Forster, PMD; Freckleton, RS; Shine, KP (1997) On aspects of the concept of radiative forcing, CLIM DYNAM, 13(7-8), pp547-560.

Forster, PMD; Shine, KP (1997) Radiative forcing and temperature trends from stratospheric ozone changes, J GEOPHYS RES-ATMOS, 102(D9), pp10841-10855.

Forster, PMD; Johnson, CE; Law, KS; Pyle, JA; Shine, KP (1996) Further estimates of radiative forcing due to tropospheric ozone changes, GEOPHYS RES LETT, 23(23), pp3321-3324.

Forster, PM; Shine, KP (1995) A comparison of two radiation schemes for calculating ultraviolet radiation, Quarterly Journal of Royal Meteorological Society, 121, pp1113-1131.

FORSTER, PMD (1995) MODELING ULTRAVIOLET-RADIATION AT THE EARTHS SURFACE .1. THE SENSITIVITY OF ULTRAVIOLET IRRADIANCES TO ATMOSPHERIC CHANGES, J APPL METEOROL, 34(11), pp2412-2425.

FORSTER, PMD; SHINE, KP; WEBB, AR (1995) MODELING ULTRAVIOLET-RADIATION AT THE EARTHS SURFACE .2. MODEL AND INSTRUMENT COMPARISON, J APPL METEOROL, 34(11), pp2426-2439.

WEBB, AR; GARDINER, BG; BLUMTHALER, M; FORSTER, P; HUBER, M; KIRSCH, PJ (1994) A LABORATORY INVESTIGATION OF 2 ULTRAVIOLET SPECTRORADIOMETERS, PHOTOCHEM PHOTOBIOL, 60(1), pp84-90.

Gardiner, BG; Webb, AR; Bias, AF; Blumthaler, M; Dirmhirn, I; Forster, PM; Gillotay, D; Henriksen, K; Huber, M; Kirsch, PJ; Simon, PC; Svenoe, T; Weihs, P; Zerefos, C (1994) European intercomparison of ultraviolet spectroradiometers, Environmental Technology, 14, pp25-43.