School of Earth and Environment

Ajay Bhave Dr Ajay Bhave

Research Fellow, Sustainability Research Institute

Email address:
Room: 9.118

Affiliation: Sustainability Research Institute


Ajay was previously a Research Officer at the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science. He is applying a decision making under uncertainty approach in the Lake Malawi Shire River Basin, through the UMFULA project under the Future Climate For Africa programme ( He is also involved with the Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy (

Ajay's PhD research on ‘Prioritization and evaluation of climate change adaptation options for the water sector’, received the Jawaharlal Nehru Outstanding Doctoral Thesis Award (2015) from the Indian Council of Agricultural Research. He is also an Erasmus Mundus masters scholarship awardee.

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PhD - Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur

Masters in Environmental Science, Policy and Management - Lund University, University of Manchester, Central European University, University of the Aegean)

Masters in Environmental Sciences - University of Pune, India

Bachelors in Environmental Sciences - Maharaja Sayajirao University of Baroda, India.


Earth System Governance Project

Research Interests

  • Water resources
  • Climate change adaptation
  • Decision making under uncertainty

Ajay has a strong interdisciplinary focus and is interested in developing and applying more holistic scientific approaches which span the natural and social sciences. He has over 7 years of climate change adaptation research experience in India, apart from earlier research experience in solid waste management and corporate social responsibility.

Project outline

CCCEP research project in the Cauvery River Basin in Karnataka, India: This research involves the application of qualitative and quantitative robust decision making approaches to assess the robustness of climate change adaptation options and adaptation pathways across a range of future climatic and socio-economic conditions. While the qualitative research includes stakeholder engagement and development of climatic and socio-economic narratives, quantitative research involves water resources modelling using the Water Evaluation And Planning model.

UMFULA project research in the Shire River Basin, Malawi: This research focuses on water resources planning and decision making in the basin, identifying key climate change adaptation requirements, and assessing robustness of stakeholder-identified adaptation options under conditions of deep uncertainty in future climate change and socio-economic change.


Bhave, A.G., Conway, D., Dessai, S., Stainforth, D. (2018) Water Resource Planning Under Future Climate and Socio-Economic Uncertainty in the Cauvery River Basin in Karnataka, India, Wat. Resour. Res.

Bhave, A. G., Conway, D., Dessai, S., Stainforth, D. (2016) Climate change adaptation in the developing world: Barriers and opportunities for robust decision making approaches, Clim. Risk Manag.

Bhave, A. G., Mittal, N., Mishra, A., Raghuwanshi, N.S. (2016) Integrated assessment of no-regret climate change adaptation options for reservoir catchment and command areas, Water Resour. Manag. 30(3): 1001 - 1018.

Mittal, N., Bhave, A. G., Mishra, A., Singh, R. (2015) Impact of dam and climate change on natural flow regime, Water Resour. Manag., 30(2): 685-699.

Demuzere, M. et al. (2014) Mitigating and adapting to climate change: Multi-functional and multi-scale assessment of green urban infrastructure. J. of Environ. Manag. 146: 107-115.

Mittal, N., Mishra, A., Singh, R., Bhave, A. G., van der Valk, M. (2014) Flow regime alteration due to anthropogenic and climatic changes, Ecohydrology and Hydrobiology, 14(3): 182-191.

Bhave, A. G., Mishra, A., Raghuwanshi, N.S. (2014) A brief review of assessment approaches which support evaluation of climate change adaptation options in the water sector, Water Pol., 16 (5), 959-972.

Bhave, A. G., Mishra, A., Raghuwanshi, N.S. (2014), Evaluation of hydrological effect of stakeholder prioritized climate change adaptation options based on multi-model regional climate projections, Clim. Chang., 123: 225-239.

Bhadwal, S. et al. (2013) Adaptation to changing water resource availability in northern India with respect to Himalayan glacier retreat and changing monsoons using participatory approaches, Sci. of the Tot. Environ., 468-469: S152-S161.

Bhave, A. G., Mishra, A., Raghuwanshi, N.S. (2013) A combined bottom-up and top-down approach for assessment of climate change adaptation options, J. of Hydrol, 518(A): 150-161.

Bhave, A. G., Mishra, A., Groot, A. (2013) Sub-basin scale characterization of climate change vulnerability, impacts and adaptation in an Indian River basin, Reg. Environ. Chang, 13:1087-1098.